Sunday, September 11, 2005

95% of everything is crap? Well, 50% at least.

Next time your doctor quotes medical research, you should quote Ioannidis:

THEODORE STURGEON, an American science-fiction writer, once observed that “95% of everything is crap”. John Ioannidis, a Greek epidemiologist, would not go that far. His benchmark is 50%. But that figure, he thinks, is a fair estimate of the proportion of scientific papers that eventually turn out to be wrong.

LIes, Damn lies, and ...

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